Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.244035 0.275906 0.309800 0.348469 0.391300 0.437224 0.490127
2025-08-31 0.199127 0.241594 0.289514 0.347378 0.415125 0.491697 0.584545
2025-09-07 0.171555 0.221196 0.280120 0.354754 0.446254 0.554226 0.690682
2025-09-14 0.147154 0.200557 0.266920 0.354643 0.466645 0.603870 0.783598
2025-09-21 0.128108 0.183724 0.255784 0.354775 0.485820 0.651781 0.876027
2025-09-28 0.112772 0.169575 0.246067 0.354907 0.503782 0.698003 0.967803
2025-10-05 0.102112 0.160362 0.241607 0.360939 0.529010 0.754118 1.074543
2025-10-12 0.094262 0.154105 0.240314 0.370653 0.559149 0.817644 1.193679
2025-10-19 0.085645 0.145641 0.234835 0.373511 0.579215 0.867723 1.296140
2025-10-26 0.079724 0.140597 0.233751 0.382326 0.607832 0.930573 1.418726
2025-11-02 0.074788 0.136529 0.233632 0.392254 0.638218 0.996894 1.548678
2025-11-09 0.067770 0.128264 0.226146 0.390035 0.649799 1.035899 1.640172
2025-11-16 0.061679 0.121095 0.220033 0.389844 0.664942 1.081641 1.744957
2025-11-23 0.056046 0.114115 0.213590 0.388517 0.677999 1.124589 1.847199
2025-11-30 0.052639 0.110778 0.212953 0.396583 0.706288 1.191898 1.989063
2025-12-07 0.048241 0.105104 0.207744 0.396422 0.720930 1.238299 2.100211
2025-12-14 0.044341 0.099947 0.202971 0.396547 0.735816 1.285432 2.214044
2025-12-21 0.040832 0.095171 0.198449 0.396681 0.750507 1.332590 2.329423
2025-12-28 0.038495 0.092523 0.197633 0.403322 0.776560 1.399129 2.478268
2026-01-04 0.036837 0.091117 0.199032 0.414023 0.810105 1.479208 2.651898
2026-01-11 0.034437 0.087846 0.196517 0.417170 0.830252 1.537454 2.791372
2026-01-18 0.032933 0.086392 0.197465 0.426878 0.862566 1.617394 2.969611
2026-01-25 0.031650 0.085298 0.199031 0.437809 0.897525 1.703027 3.160159